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Democratic backsliding and political violence don’t come out of nowhere. They follow a pattern.The Violence Cascade gives journalists and analysts a clear, non‑partisan way to describe that pattern—and simple tools to show how communities can interrupt it before harm is normalized.
"Violation is violence in formation"
This site focuses on one part of the Transilience framework—the Violence Cascade—because it’s immediately useful for journalists, editors, and analysts covering democratic stress and escalating conflict.
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How fragmentation escalates
The Violence Cascade is a five‑stage mechanism showing how unaddressed violations and fragmentation escalate into actualized violence. Each stage is observable and interruptible:
Personal fragmentation
Interpersonal violation
Collective fragmentation
Institutional fragmentation
Violence actualized
By the time bodies are harmed, violations have usually been normalized for years.
Downloadable Resources
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Under pressure, three human “minds” show up:
Guardian protects and sets limits
Connector builds trust and belonging
Navigator discerns and weighs consequences
When Guardian takes the front seat and stays there, fragmentation spreads.Transilience is a framework for integrated human intelligence—coordinating all three minds so whole systems, from individuals to institutions, can access their full protective, relational, and strategic capacities under pressure, when we most need them, and generate responses that don't yet exist.You don’t have to learn the whole framework to use the Violence Cascade. But for those who want the deeper architecture, this is where it lives.
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The Gray Zone
We’re in a gray zone: democratic norms are stressed, institutions are hardening, and escalation is visible on the ground. It’s too late to say “this could never happen here”—but it is not too late to change the shape and scale of what happens next.The Violence Cascade gives us a way to see and name where we are in the mechanism, even when we’re already partway down it. That clarity comes late in the story, but it’s still better than never: it shows where choice points remain, and what kinds of moves deepen harm versus interrupt it.For journalists and analysts, this means two things:
You can describe events as part of a recognizable pattern, not random chaos.
Through the questions you ask and the context you offer, you can help shift public attention from spectatorship (“watching the fire”) to agency (“seeing where we still have water and levers”).
We may not be at the beginning of the Violence Cascade, but we’re not at the end either. Naming the pattern now is one of the ways we stop telling ourselves there are no choices left.
There are practical tools and rubrics for action.
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The first goal here is simple: help you see and name where events sit in the Violence Cascade—and then ask questions and frame coverage in ways that move us toward integration instead of escalation.and then ask questions toward integration rather than escalationFrom the broader Transilience framework, we’ve pulled a few elements that are directly useful for reporting and analysis:
Violence Cascade Rubric
1-pager and 3-4 pagers available on the Violence Cascade.
A five‑stage lens for assessing whether you’re looking at personal fragmentation, interpersonal violations, collective fragmentation, institutional fragmentation, or actualized violence—and what’s still interruptible. < more >
Question Prompts for Integrated Coverage
Guardian / Connector / Navigator questions you can bring into interviews and analysis to surface security, relationship, and judgment concerns without taking sides. < more >
For interviews and analysis that surface security, relationship, and judgment concerns without taking sides.
Language Guide: Boundaries vs Borders
A simple rubric for describing whether a rule or policy is primarily protecting shared space or normalizing exclusion and punishment. < more >
For stories about laws, enforcement, platform rules, school or campus decisions—any time power is drawing lines about who is “in” and who is “out.”
LAMP+ Recognition Protocol
A practical conversation tool for moderators and hosts when discussions run hot, so people stay seen and the conversation can continue. < more >
For moments when conversations get hot and people feel unseen.
These pieces come from the wider Transilience framework, but you don’t need to know all of Transilience to start using them. The Violence Cascade is your primary lens; the tools exist to make it easier to act on what it shows you.
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Question Prompts for Integrated Coverage
These prompts help you use the Violence Cascade in practice—by drawing out protection, relationship, and judgment concerns without taking sides. They’re framed around the three “minds” (Guardian, Connector, Navigator) and can be adapted to any beat. And most importantly, to surface choice points.
Guardian (Protection & Risk)
“What are people here most afraid of losing?”
“Who is this policy primarily protecting—and who might feel less safe because of it?”
“If this escalates one step further, what does that look like on the ground?”
Connector (Relationship & Belonging)
“Whose voices or experiences are missing from this conversation?”
“How is this shaping who feels ‘inside’ and who feels ‘outside’ the community?”
“What, if anything, is being done to repair trust after recent harms?”
Navigator (Judgment & Trade‑offs)
“What problem is this response actually trying to solve?”
“What are the longer‑term consequences if we normalize this kind of language or rule?”
“What other options were considered—and why were they set aside?”
Use these questions alongside the Violence Cascade rubric (Stages 1–5) to locate where a story sits in the mechanism and to surface choice points, not just conflict.
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Recognition without Agreement
When conversations heat up, people often feel unseen—especially their emotions. This “recognition collapse” is a key driver in the Violence Cascade.LAMP+ is a way to name what someone is feeling, without endorsing what they’re saying. It surfaces the emotional reality in the room so fragmentation doesn’t keep scaling unseen.
L - Listen & Label
Listen for the emotion beneath the words and put a simple label on it:
“It sounds like you’re angry and scared about what this means for your family.”
A - Accept & Assure
Accept that this is real for them, without saying it’s right:
“You really do feel under threat here, and that matters."
Assure basic respect: “You’re not crazy for feeling that.”
M – Mindfully Mirror
This "recognition mirror" requires genuine curiosity not judgement. Calmly raise a mirror by repeating back the last 1 - 3 words they use—especially charged or catastrophic ones—so they hear themselves.
Guest: “This is a total collapse, they’re absolutely terrorists.”
You: “Total collapse?” (in a calm curious not taunting voice.)
This helps them feel heard and they often soften or clarify their claims without you arguing.
P – Provide Presence
Keep your tone calm and stay with them for one more beat—ask another clarifying question or reflection on what they said—instead of instantly pivoting away when it gets uncomfortable.
The “+” is whatever boundary or move is needed next: time limit, shift to another guest, or reframing.
Why this matters for coverage
You are not agreeing with their politics or facts.
You are accurately reflecting the emotional state and key language driving their position.
That moment of being seen:
Often helps them hear their own extremity and adjust
Reduces their hostility toward you (“at least they actually heard me”)
And gives the audience a felt experience of an integrating moment, not just another fragmenting clash.
Even if nobody “changes their mind” on‑air, you’ve stopped feeding the cascade and created a tiny pocket of coherence instead, giving integration a chance to counter fragmentation.
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Naming What a Policy Really Does
A lot of democratic‑stress stories are really about how power draws lines: who is protected, and who is pushed out. The Boundaries vs Borders lens gives you a quick way to name that.
Boundaries protect
Clear, fair limits that keep people safe and hold a shared space together, while still allowing participation, feedback, and repair.
Borders punish
Rigid lines that mark certain people or groups as “out,” normalizing exclusion, ongoing penalty, or permanent suspicion.
Use this as a quiet rubric when you’re covering policies, enforcement, platform rules, school decisions, or protest responses.
Questions you can ask
“Who is this primarily protecting, and who might experience it as being pushed out?”
“If someone ends up on the wrong side of this line, what does repair or return look like, if at all?”
“Over time, does this rule build shared safety—or normalize keeping certain people on the outside?”
Use this frame instead of…
Instead of only:
“Is this tough measure necessary to restore order?”
Add:
“In practice, is this functioning more like a protective boundary or a punitive border?”
Instead of framing it as:
“Crackdown vs. leniency,”
Try:
“How is this line being drawn—and does it mainly protect everyone, or mainly exclude some?”
This doesn’t tell you what the answer should be. It helps you and your audience see more clearly what kind of move is being made, and how it fits into the Violence Cascade.
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Transilience is a practical philosophy for doing better with what we already have as humans—our capacity to protect, connect, and make sense together.It isn’t rocket science. It’s a coherent way of seeing how integration strengthens people and systems, and how fragmentation—if left unaddressed—reliably scales into harm. From that map, Transilience offers simple rubrics and protocols so ordinary people, institutions, and journalists can:
see where we are in the Violence Cascade,
spot real choice points early, and
take small, doable actions that shift trajectories instead of freezing in overwhelm.
Transilience.org currently focuses on one part of the framework that’s especially urgent for journalists and analysts: the Violence Cascade.
About the Author
Transilience was developed by Karen Judd Smith, a systems practitioner and researcher with three decades of experience in human development, conflict transformation, and institutional change.Her forthcoming book, Transilience, brings together work with UN agencies, NGOs, and communities around a central insight: integration strengthens; fragmentation, left alone, scales into harm.
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For Interviews, Speaking, or Media Requests
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Karen Judd Smith is a systems practitioner and researcher with three decades of experience working at the intersection of human development, conflict transformation, and institutional change. She has worked with UN agencies, international NGOs, and grassroots communities in diverse cultural and political contexts, helping organizations and communities navigate stress, uncertainty, and escalating division.Her academic foundations include physics, the philosophy of science, and graduate study in human meaning‑making and development. Earlier in her career, she directed an ocean‑based international youth leadership program, managed large-scale operational systems, and gained practical insight into how people work together — and fall apart — under pressure.Her forthcoming book, Transilience (2026), weaves these strands of experience and inquiry into a clear thesis: integration strengthens individuals and societies, while unchecked fragmentation scales reliably into collective harm—and we now have practical ways to see and interrupt that process.
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